SR-UST-TR-20PL · Proposed, back-tested

Safe Rate 20+ Year US Treasury Index

20 years and over.

Level
148.18
September 18, 2026
-0.605% on the day
-0.920% since the Aug 31, 2026 rebalance
That month
+0.65%
Since inception
2.41%
a year, annualized
Holdings
40

This index is valued through September 18, 2026. Treasury prices are available through September 21, 2026, so the days between are not yet valued. The gap closes when the next index publication completes; nothing here needs re-fetching.

These levels are back-tested. Every one was computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules and is not a record of trading. An index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at the September 30, 2026 rebalance.

Level since the base date

50100150200250300Sep 30, 2008Sep 18, 2026Sep 30, 2008Index level100.00Oct 31, 2008Index level97.82Nov 28, 2008Index level110.87Dec 31, 2008Index level127.25Jan 30, 2009Index level109.55Feb 27, 2009Index level107.77Mar 31, 2009Index level111.74Apr 30, 2009Index level104.21May 29, 2009Index level99.29Jun 30, 2009Index level101.50Jul 31, 2009Index level100.86Aug 31, 2009Index level103.78Sep 30, 2009Index level107.20Oct 30, 2009Index level103.45Nov 30, 2009Index level105.23Dec 31, 2009Index level98.51Jan 29, 2010Index level100.75Feb 26, 2010Index level101.05Mar 31, 2010Index level98.60Apr 30, 2010Index level101.77May 28, 2010Index level107.28Jun 30, 2010Index level113.01Jul 30, 2010Index level112.28Aug 31, 2010Index level121.42Sep 30, 2010Index level119.02Oct 29, 2010Index level113.39Nov 30, 2010Index level112.87Dec 31, 2010Index level107.56Jan 31, 2011Index level105.13Feb 28, 2011Index level105.91Mar 31, 2011Index level106.14Apr 29, 2011Index level108.67May 31, 2011Index level112.36Jun 30, 2011Index level109.20Jul 29, 2011Index level114.07Aug 31, 2011Index level127.64Sep 30, 2011Index level140.80Oct 31, 2011Index level135.09Nov 30, 2011Index level139.73Dec 30, 2011Index level144.71Jan 31, 2012Index level143.29Feb 29, 2012Index level140.78Mar 30, 2012Index level136.72Apr 30, 2012Index level141.38May 31, 2012Index level155.01Jun 29, 2012Index level151.63Jul 31, 2012Index level157.06Aug 31, 2012Index level153.36Sep 28, 2012Index level151.94Oct 31, 2012Index level149.91Nov 30, 2012Index level152.79Dec 31, 2012Index level150.11Jan 31, 2013Index level143.46Feb 28, 2013Index level145.61Mar 28, 2013Index level145.42Apr 30, 2013Index level151.92May 31, 2013Index level141.18Jun 28, 2013Index level136.20Jul 31, 2013Index level132.06Aug 30, 2013Index level132.57Sep 30, 2013Index level133.02Oct 31, 2013Index level134.42Nov 29, 2013Index level131.04Dec 31, 2013Index level128.93Jan 31, 2014Index level136.76Feb 28, 2014Index level137.11Mar 31, 2014Index level138.44Apr 30, 2014Index level141.54May 30, 2014Index level145.85Jun 30, 2014Index level145.45Jul 31, 2014Index level146.60Aug 29, 2014Index level153.53Sep 30, 2014Index level150.76Oct 31, 2014Index level153.89Nov 28, 2014Index level159.04Dec 31, 2014Index level164.13Jan 30, 2015Index level179.88Feb 27, 2015Index level168.75Mar 31, 2015Index level170.88Apr 30, 2015Index level164.09May 29, 2015Index level161.94Jun 30, 2015Index level155.68Jul 31, 2015Index level161.88Aug 31, 2015Index level161.94Sep 30, 2015Index level163.76Oct 30, 2015Index level162.25Nov 30, 2015Index level161.65Dec 31, 2015Index level161.14Jan 29, 2016Index level170.85Feb 29, 2016Index level175.29Mar 31, 2016Index level175.05Apr 29, 2016Index level173.19May 31, 2016Index level175.19Jun 30, 2016Index level188.19Jul 29, 2016Index level190.57Aug 31, 2016Index level189.02Sep 30, 2016Index level186.72Oct 31, 2016Index level178.27Nov 30, 2016Index level163.28Dec 30, 2016Index level163.29Jan 31, 2017Index level164.52Feb 28, 2017Index level167.12Mar 31, 2017Index level165.51Apr 28, 2017Index level167.94May 31, 2017Index level171.63Jun 30, 2017Index level173.45Jul 31, 2017Index level171.68Aug 31, 2017Index level177.80Sep 29, 2017Index level173.87Oct 31, 2017Index level174.01Nov 30, 2017Index level175.31Dec 29, 2017Index level178.27Jan 31, 2018Index level171.63Feb 28, 2018Index level166.86Mar 29, 2018Index level171.97Apr 30, 2018Index level168.74May 31, 2018Index level172.29Jun 29, 2018Index level173.46Jul 31, 2018Index level170.67Aug 31, 2018Index level174.02Sep 28, 2018Index level168.31Oct 31, 2018Index level163.16Nov 30, 2018Index level165.71Dec 31, 2018Index level175.22Jan 31, 2019Index level175.98Feb 28, 2019Index level173.75Mar 29, 2019Index level183.13Apr 30, 2019Index level179.74May 31, 2019Index level191.07Jun 28, 2019Index level194.49Jul 31, 2019Index level194.07Aug 30, 2019Index level215.64Sep 30, 2019Index level209.40Oct 31, 2019Index level208.37Nov 29, 2019Index level207.10Dec 31, 2019Index level201.99Jan 31, 2020Index level216.07Feb 28, 2020Index level230.91Mar 31, 2020Index level245.35Apr 30, 2020Index level251.26May 29, 2020Index level242.90Jun 30, 2020Index level245.91Jul 31, 2020Index level255.54Aug 31, 2020Index level243.39Sep 30, 2020Index level244.44Oct 30, 2020Index level237.57Nov 30, 2020Index level240.43Dec 31, 2020Index level237.43Jan 29, 2021Index level229.08Feb 26, 2021Index level210.85Mar 31, 2021Index level205.81Apr 30, 2021Index level209.22May 28, 2021Index level210.24Jun 30, 2021Index level219.35Jul 30, 2021Index level227.21Aug 31, 2021Index level226.57Sep 30, 2021Index level218.77Oct 29, 2021Index level225.10Nov 30, 2021Index level231.10Dec 31, 2021Index level226.21Jan 31, 2022Index level217.73Feb 28, 2022Index level212.36Mar 31, 2022Index level202.73Apr 29, 2022Index level184.22May 31, 2022Index level179.26Jun 30, 2022Index level177.90Jul 29, 2022Index level183.13Aug 31, 2022Index level174.85Sep 30, 2022Index level160.61Oct 31, 2022Index level149.97Nov 30, 2022Index level158.57Dec 30, 2022Index level156.65Jan 31, 2023Index level166.86Feb 28, 2023Index level158.69Mar 31, 2023Index level166.21Apr 28, 2023Index level167.72May 31, 2023Index level162.27Jun 30, 2023Index level162.82Jul 31, 2023Index level159.12Aug 31, 2023Index level154.41Sep 29, 2023Index level142.34Oct 31, 2023Index level136.05Nov 30, 2023Index level148.14Dec 29, 2023Index level161.22Jan 31, 2024Index level156.66Feb 29, 2024Index level153.22Mar 28, 2024Index level154.87Apr 30, 2024Index level145.06May 31, 2024Index level148.78Jun 28, 2024Index level152.95Jul 31, 2024Index level156.78Aug 30, 2024Index level162.14Sep 30, 2024Index level163.67Oct 31, 2024Index level154.05Nov 29, 2024Index level157.10Dec 31, 2024Index level148.11Jan 31, 2025Index level149.60Feb 28, 2025Index level155.98Mar 31, 2025Index level154.81Apr 30, 2025Index level153.69May 30, 2025Index level147.96Jun 30, 2025Index level151.31Jul 31, 2025Index level150.90Aug 29, 2025Index level150.11Sep 30, 2025Index level156.14Oct 31, 2025Index level158.13Nov 28, 2025Index level158.11Dec 31, 2025Index level155.25Jan 30, 2026Index level154.46Feb 27, 2026Index level161.19Mar 31, 2026Index level154.44Apr 30, 2026Index level153.63May 29, 2026Index level154.38Jun 30, 2026Index level157.01Jul 31, 2026Index level148.59Aug 31, 2026Index level149.56Sep 1, 2026Index level149.95Sep 2, 2026Index level149.37Sep 3, 2026Index level150.29Sep 4, 2026Index level150.15Sep 8, 2026Index level150.12Sep 9, 2026Index level148.90Sep 10, 2026Index level147.88Sep 11, 2026Index level148.35Sep 14, 2026Index level147.86Sep 15, 2026Index level147.42Sep 16, 2026Index level148.04Sep 17, 2026Index level149.08Sep 18, 2026Index level148.18

215 monthly rebalances, chained from 100 at September 30, 2008. The y axis is an index level, not a rate. The last 13 points are daily, through September 18, 2026: the index is valued every trading day and reconstitutes its holdings monthly. The base is the month-end before the first published level, so the first point after it already carries a month of return.

Total return

Cumulative and annualized total return over trailing periods to August 31, 2026.
PeriodCumulativeAnnualized
1 month+0.65%
3 months-3.13%
1 year-0.37%-0.37%
3 years-3.14%-1.06%
5 years-33.99%-7.97%
10 years-20.88%-2.31%
Since inception+52.89%2.41%

Periods under one year are not annualized, and the dash in that column is a refusal rather than a gap: restating one month as a yearly rate extrapolates a single month's movement across twelve, which overstates gains and losses alike.

Calendar year returns

Total return by calendar year since inception.
YearTotal return
20268 months-3.66%
2025+4.82%
2024-8.13%
2023+2.92%
2022-30.75%
2021-4.72%
2020+17.54%
2019+15.28%
2018-1.71%
2017+9.17%
2016+1.34%
2015-1.82%
2014+27.30%
2013-14.11%
2012+3.73%
2011+34.53%
2010+9.19%
2009-22.59%
20083 months+30.09%

Market value weighted, rebalanced monthly on the last trading day. Amount outstanding is what was auctioned, less par Treasury has bought back and retired, less what the Federal Reserve holds, a bond the Fed owns is outstanding but not investable, so deducting it is what makes the weights describe a portfolio somebody could actually hold. Levels are month-end figures, so this sits behind the daily prices elsewhere on this site by design.

Largest holdings

40 at the August 31, 2026 rebalance

The 5 heaviest, by weight. Each security's return is its own total return over the month; its contribution is that return times its weight, and every holding's contribution adds to the index return above.

The 5 heaviest holdings of 20+ Year at the August 31, 2026 rebalance, with each one's weight, total return over the month and contribution to the index return.
CUSIPMaturityWeightReturnContribution
912810UU05.000%May 15, 20564.18%0.470%0.0196%
912810UR74.750%Feb 15, 20564.07%0.432%0.0176%
912810UM84.750%Aug 15, 20554.06%0.466%0.0189%
912810UK24.750%May 15, 20554.01%0.502%0.0201%
912810UG14.625%Feb 15, 20553.98%0.532%0.0212%

Check this level yourself. Every holding is published each month with the three deductions that set its weight, both prices, and its contribution, and the contributions add to the return above. See the constituents.

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.