SR-UST-TR-0710 · Proposed, back-tested

Safe Rate 7-10 Year US Treasury Index

7 to 10 years.

Level
159.83
September 18, 2026
-0.381% on the day
-1.631% since the Aug 31, 2026 rebalance
That month
+0.22%
Since inception
2.86%
a year, annualized
Holdings
13

This index is valued through September 18, 2026. Treasury prices are available through September 21, 2026, so the days between are not yet valued. The gap closes when the next index publication completes; nothing here needs re-fetching.

These levels are back-tested. Every one was computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules and is not a record of trading. An index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at the September 30, 2026 rebalance.

Level since the base date

80100120140160180200Sep 30, 2008Sep 18, 2026Sep 30, 2008Index level100.00Oct 31, 2008Index level98.32Nov 28, 2008Index level105.93Dec 31, 2008Index level112.19Jan 30, 2009Index level107.21Feb 27, 2009Index level106.34Mar 31, 2009Index level109.94Apr 30, 2009Index level106.78May 29, 2009Index level104.36Jun 30, 2009Index level104.50Jul 31, 2009Index level104.71Aug 31, 2009Index level105.88Sep 30, 2009Index level107.36Oct 30, 2009Index level106.81Nov 30, 2009Index level109.18Dec 31, 2009Index level104.60Jan 29, 2010Index level106.76Feb 26, 2010Index level107.49Mar 31, 2010Index level106.27Apr 30, 2010Index level107.89May 28, 2010Index level111.07Jun 30, 2010Index level114.42Jul 30, 2010Index level115.74Aug 31, 2010Index level119.54Sep 30, 2010Index level119.64Oct 29, 2010Index level119.54Nov 30, 2010Index level119.06Dec 31, 2010Index level114.41Jan 31, 2011Index level114.91Feb 28, 2011Index level114.27Mar 31, 2011Index level114.31Apr 29, 2011Index level116.11May 31, 2011Index level119.01Jun 30, 2011Index level118.42Jul 29, 2011Index level121.85Aug 31, 2011Index level128.49Sep 30, 2011Index level130.58Oct 31, 2011Index level128.62Nov 30, 2011Index level130.03Dec 30, 2011Index level132.44Jan 31, 2012Index level133.52Feb 29, 2012Index level132.41Mar 30, 2012Index level130.89Apr 30, 2012Index level133.53May 31, 2012Index level137.58Jun 29, 2012Index level136.90Jul 31, 2012Index level138.73Aug 31, 2012Index level138.06Sep 28, 2012Index level138.33Oct 31, 2012Index level137.42Nov 30, 2012Index level138.96Dec 31, 2012Index level138.05Jan 31, 2013Index level135.78Feb 28, 2013Index level137.31Mar 28, 2013Index level137.93Apr 30, 2013Index level140.06May 31, 2013Index level135.54Jun 28, 2013Index level132.09Jul 31, 2013Index level130.74Aug 30, 2013Index level130.21Sep 30, 2013Index level132.04Oct 31, 2013Index level133.14Nov 29, 2013Index level132.06Dec 31, 2013Index level129.51Jan 31, 2014Index level133.16Feb 28, 2014Index level133.54Mar 31, 2014Index level132.88Apr 30, 2014Index level133.99May 30, 2014Index level136.56Jun 30, 2014Index level136.27Jul 31, 2014Index level135.94Aug 29, 2014Index level138.55Sep 30, 2014Index level137.17Oct 31, 2014Index level139.07Nov 28, 2014Index level140.92Dec 31, 2014Index level141.20Jan 30, 2015Index level147.04Feb 27, 2015Index level143.57Mar 31, 2015Index level144.73Apr 30, 2015Index level143.49May 29, 2015Index level143.52Jun 30, 2015Index level141.32Jul 31, 2015Index level143.06Aug 31, 2015Index level143.60Sep 30, 2015Index level145.43Oct 30, 2015Index level144.48Nov 30, 2015Index level144.07Dec 31, 2015Index level143.56Jan 29, 2016Index level148.20Feb 29, 2016Index level150.20Mar 31, 2016Index level149.97Apr 29, 2016Index level149.93May 31, 2016Index level149.81Jun 30, 2016Index level154.60Jul 29, 2016Index level154.72Aug 31, 2016Index level153.48Sep 30, 2016Index level153.78Oct 31, 2016Index level151.43Nov 30, 2016Index level145.07Dec 30, 2016Index level144.79Jan 31, 2017Index level145.34Feb 28, 2017Index level146.53Mar 31, 2017Index level146.30Apr 28, 2017Index level147.83May 31, 2017Index level149.21Jun 30, 2017Index level148.80Jul 31, 2017Index level149.05Aug 31, 2017Index level151.14Sep 29, 2017Index level149.26Oct 31, 2017Index level148.94Nov 30, 2017Index level148.68Dec 29, 2017Index level148.70Jan 31, 2018Index level145.39Feb 28, 2018Index level144.02Mar 29, 2018Index level145.87Apr 30, 2018Index level144.07May 31, 2018Index level145.52Jun 29, 2018Index level145.83Jul 31, 2018Index level145.04Aug 31, 2018Index level146.76Sep 28, 2018Index level144.79Oct 31, 2018Index level144.25Nov 30, 2018Index level146.14Dec 31, 2018Index level149.91Jan 31, 2019Index level151.06Feb 28, 2019Index level150.52Mar 29, 2019Index level154.41Apr 30, 2019Index level153.75May 31, 2019Index level157.90Jun 28, 2019Index level160.42Jul 31, 2019Index level160.42Aug 30, 2019Index level166.66Sep 30, 2019Index level164.73Oct 31, 2019Index level165.14Nov 29, 2019Index level164.01Dec 31, 2019Index level162.95Jan 31, 2020Index level168.07Feb 28, 2020Index level173.18Mar 31, 2020Index level179.55Apr 30, 2020Index level180.99May 29, 2020Index level180.70Jun 30, 2020Index level181.18Jul 31, 2020Index level182.58Aug 31, 2020Index level180.93Sep 30, 2020Index level181.37Oct 30, 2020Index level179.15Nov 30, 2020Index level179.62Dec 31, 2020Index level179.14Jan 29, 2021Index level177.27Feb 26, 2021Index level171.56Mar 31, 2021Index level169.21Apr 30, 2021Index level170.54May 28, 2021Index level171.53Jun 30, 2021Index level173.35Jul 30, 2021Index level176.68Aug 31, 2021Index level175.93Sep 30, 2021Index level172.75Oct 29, 2021Index level172.26Nov 30, 2021Index level173.79Dec 31, 2021Index level173.53Jan 31, 2022Index level169.57Feb 28, 2022Index level168.46Mar 31, 2022Index level162.41Apr 29, 2022Index level155.54May 31, 2022Index level156.39Jun 30, 2022Index level155.06Jul 29, 2022Index level160.05Aug 31, 2022Index level154.35Sep 30, 2022Index level147.20Oct 31, 2022Index level144.53Nov 30, 2022Index level147.89Dec 30, 2022Index level147.41Jan 31, 2023Index level152.31Feb 28, 2023Index level147.40Mar 31, 2023Index level152.71Apr 28, 2023Index level154.22May 31, 2023Index level152.03Jun 30, 2023Index level150.27Jul 31, 2023Index level149.39Aug 31, 2023Index level148.27Sep 29, 2023Index level143.88Oct 31, 2023Index level141.55Nov 30, 2023Index level147.45Dec 29, 2023Index level153.14Jan 31, 2024Index level152.83Feb 29, 2024Index level149.89Mar 28, 2024Index level150.99Apr 30, 2024Index level146.50May 31, 2024Index level148.80Jun 28, 2024Index level151.25Jul 31, 2024Index level154.52Aug 30, 2024Index level157.85Sep 30, 2024Index level159.52Oct 31, 2024Index level153.78Nov 29, 2024Index level155.44Dec 31, 2024Index level152.24Jan 31, 2025Index level153.47Feb 28, 2025Index level157.20Mar 31, 2025Index level157.89Apr 30, 2025Index level159.56May 30, 2025Index level157.54Jun 30, 2025Index level159.93Jul 31, 2025Index level159.60Aug 29, 2025Index level161.81Sep 30, 2025Index level163.26Oct 31, 2025Index level164.29Nov 28, 2025Index level165.78Dec 31, 2025Index level165.06Jan 30, 2026Index level164.34Feb 27, 2026Index level168.22Mar 31, 2026Index level164.40Apr 30, 2026Index level164.32May 29, 2026Index level164.38Jun 30, 2026Index level165.06Jul 31, 2026Index level162.13Aug 31, 2026Index level162.48Sep 1, 2026Index level162.38Sep 2, 2026Index level162.06Sep 3, 2026Index level162.67Sep 4, 2026Index level162.41Sep 8, 2026Index level162.22Sep 9, 2026Index level161.64Sep 10, 2026Index level160.74Sep 11, 2026Index level160.59Sep 14, 2026Index level160.26Sep 15, 2026Index level159.92Sep 16, 2026Index level160.36Sep 17, 2026Index level160.45Sep 18, 2026Index level159.83

215 monthly rebalances, chained from 100 at September 30, 2008. The y axis is an index level, not a rate. The last 13 points are daily, through September 18, 2026: the index is valued every trading day and reconstitutes its holdings monthly. The base is the month-end before the first published level, so the first point after it already carries a month of return.

Total return

Cumulative and annualized total return over trailing periods to August 31, 2026.
PeriodCumulativeAnnualized
1 month+0.22%
3 months-1.15%
1 year+0.41%+0.41%
3 years+9.58%+3.10%
5 years-7.64%-1.58%
10 years+5.87%+0.57%
Since inception+65.26%2.86%

Periods under one year are not annualized, and the dash in that column is a refusal rather than a gap: restating one month as a yearly rate extrapolates a single month's movement across twelve, which overstates gains and losses alike.

Calendar year returns

Total return by calendar year since inception.
YearTotal return
20268 months-1.56%
2025+8.42%
2024-0.59%
2023+3.88%
2022-15.05%
2021-3.13%
2020+9.94%
2019+8.70%
2018+0.81%
2017+2.70%
2016+0.86%
2015+1.67%
2014+9.02%
2013-6.18%
2012+4.24%
2011+15.76%
2010+9.38%
2009-6.77%
20083 months+14.11%

Market value weighted, rebalanced monthly on the last trading day. Amount outstanding is what was auctioned, less par Treasury has bought back and retired, less what the Federal Reserve holds, a bond the Fed owns is outstanding but not investable, so deducting it is what makes the weights describe a portfolio somebody could actually hold. Levels are month-end figures, so this sits behind the daily prices elsewhere on this site by design.

Largest holdings

13 at the August 31, 2026 rebalance

The 5 heaviest, by weight. Each security's return is its own total return over the month; its contribution is that return times its weight, and every holding's contribution adds to the index return above.

The 5 heaviest holdings of 7-10 Year at the August 31, 2026 rebalance, with each one's weight, total return over the month and contribution to the index return.
CUSIPMaturityWeightReturnContribution
91282CMM04.625%Feb 15, 20358.69%0.238%0.0207%
91282CKQ34.375%May 15, 20348.48%0.221%0.0188%
91282CNT44.250%Aug 15, 20358.43%0.247%0.0208%
91282CQQ74.375%May 15, 20368.39%0.256%0.0215%
91282CLW94.250%Nov 15, 20348.38%0.214%0.0180%

Check this level yourself. Every holding is published each month with the three deductions that set its weight, both prices, and its contribution, and the contributions add to the return above. See the constituents.

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.