SR-UST-TR · Proposed, back-tested

Safe Rate US Treasury Index

Nominal notes and bonds, one year and over.

Level
143.96
September 18, 2026
-0.267% on the day
-0.993% since the Aug 31, 2026 rebalance
That month
+0.33%
Since inception
2.15%
a year, annualized
Holdings
298

This index is valued through September 18, 2026. Treasury prices are available through September 21, 2026, so the days between are not yet valued. The gap closes when the next index publication completes; nothing here needs re-fetching.

These levels are back-tested. Every one was computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules and is not a record of trading. An index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at the September 30, 2026 rebalance.

Level since the base date

90100110120130140150160Sep 30, 2008Sep 18, 2026Sep 30, 2008Index level100.00Oct 31, 2008Index level99.59Nov 28, 2008Index level104.61Dec 31, 2008Index level108.76Jan 30, 2009Index level105.23Feb 27, 2009Index level104.58Mar 31, 2009Index level106.80Apr 30, 2009Index level104.80May 29, 2009Index level103.58Jun 30, 2009Index level103.68Jul 31, 2009Index level103.85Aug 31, 2009Index level104.86Sep 30, 2009Index level105.91Oct 30, 2009Index level105.53Nov 30, 2009Index level107.17Dec 31, 2009Index level104.37Jan 29, 2010Index level105.91Feb 26, 2010Index level106.41Mar 31, 2010Index level105.56Apr 30, 2010Index level106.65May 28, 2010Index level108.49Jun 30, 2010Index level110.48Jul 30, 2010Index level111.27Aug 31, 2010Index level113.49Sep 30, 2010Index level113.55Oct 29, 2010Index level113.39Nov 30, 2010Index level112.89Dec 31, 2010Index level110.54Jan 31, 2011Index level110.80Feb 28, 2011Index level110.46Mar 31, 2011Index level110.46Apr 29, 2011Index level111.74May 31, 2011Index level113.40Jun 30, 2011Index level112.92Jul 29, 2011Index level114.92Aug 31, 2011Index level118.57Sep 30, 2011Index level120.29Oct 31, 2011Index level119.32Nov 30, 2011Index level120.25Dec 30, 2011Index level121.47Jan 31, 2012Index level121.86Feb 29, 2012Index level121.12Mar 30, 2012Index level120.29Apr 30, 2012Index level121.65May 31, 2012Index level123.98Jun 29, 2012Index level123.40Jul 31, 2012Index level124.61Aug 31, 2012Index level124.16Sep 28, 2012Index level124.14Oct 31, 2012Index level123.63Nov 30, 2012Index level124.40Dec 31, 2012Index level123.96Jan 31, 2013Index level122.88Feb 28, 2013Index level123.54Mar 28, 2013Index level123.68Apr 30, 2013Index level124.80May 31, 2013Index level122.64Jun 28, 2013Index level121.21Jul 31, 2013Index level120.74Aug 30, 2013Index level120.59Sep 30, 2013Index level121.36Oct 31, 2013Index level121.88Nov 29, 2013Index level121.56Dec 31, 2013Index level120.52Jan 31, 2014Index level122.19Feb 28, 2014Index level122.35Mar 31, 2014Index level122.05Apr 30, 2014Index level122.73May 30, 2014Index level123.91Jun 30, 2014Index level123.73Jul 31, 2014Index level123.56Aug 29, 2014Index level124.92Sep 30, 2014Index level124.31Oct 31, 2014Index level125.31Nov 28, 2014Index level126.36Dec 31, 2014Index level126.58Jan 30, 2015Index level129.91Feb 27, 2015Index level127.84Mar 31, 2015Index level128.62Apr 30, 2015Index level127.72May 29, 2015Index level127.66Jun 30, 2015Index level126.65Jul 31, 2015Index level127.74Aug 31, 2015Index level127.89Sep 30, 2015Index level128.83Oct 30, 2015Index level128.29Nov 30, 2015Index level127.90Dec 31, 2015Index level127.64Jan 29, 2016Index level130.49Feb 29, 2016Index level131.47Mar 31, 2016Index level131.62Apr 29, 2016Index level131.44May 31, 2016Index level131.46Jun 30, 2016Index level134.66Jul 29, 2016Index level134.90Aug 31, 2016Index level134.23Sep 30, 2016Index level134.25Oct 31, 2016Index level132.65Nov 30, 2016Index level128.89Dec 30, 2016Index level128.88Jan 31, 2017Index level129.33Feb 28, 2017Index level130.03Mar 31, 2017Index level129.77Apr 28, 2017Index level130.61May 31, 2017Index level131.52Jun 30, 2017Index level131.59Jul 31, 2017Index level131.63Aug 31, 2017Index level133.01Sep 29, 2017Index level131.95Oct 31, 2017Index level131.79Nov 30, 2017Index level131.67Dec 29, 2017Index level131.94Jan 31, 2018Index level130.03Feb 28, 2018Index level129.10Mar 29, 2018Index level130.31Apr 30, 2018Index level129.30May 31, 2018Index level130.40Jun 29, 2018Index level130.60Jul 31, 2018Index level130.06Aug 31, 2018Index level131.15Sep 28, 2018Index level129.86Oct 31, 2018Index level129.26Nov 30, 2018Index level130.34Dec 31, 2018Index level133.06Jan 31, 2019Index level133.66Feb 28, 2019Index level133.31Mar 29, 2019Index level135.93Apr 30, 2019Index level135.54May 31, 2019Index level138.44Jun 28, 2019Index level140.00Jul 31, 2019Index level139.93Aug 30, 2019Index level144.56Sep 30, 2019Index level143.23Oct 31, 2019Index level143.45Nov 29, 2019Index level142.97Dec 31, 2019Index level142.33Jan 31, 2020Index level145.76Feb 28, 2020Index level149.57Mar 31, 2020Index level154.07Apr 30, 2020Index level155.22May 29, 2020Index level154.26Jun 30, 2020Index level154.83Jul 31, 2020Index level156.41Aug 31, 2020Index level154.59Sep 30, 2020Index level154.81Oct 30, 2020Index level153.46Nov 30, 2020Index level153.97Dec 31, 2020Index level153.62Jan 29, 2021Index level152.23Feb 26, 2021Index level148.34Mar 31, 2021Index level147.34Apr 30, 2021Index level148.17May 28, 2021Index level148.65Jun 30, 2021Index level149.85Jul 30, 2021Index level151.81Aug 31, 2021Index level151.50Sep 30, 2021Index level149.64Oct 29, 2021Index level149.71Nov 30, 2021Index level150.73Dec 31, 2021Index level149.93Jan 31, 2022Index level147.25Feb 28, 2022Index level145.95Mar 31, 2022Index level141.92Apr 29, 2022Index level137.52May 31, 2022Index level137.55Jun 30, 2022Index level136.52Jul 29, 2022Index level138.91Aug 31, 2022Index level135.60Sep 30, 2022Index level131.00Oct 31, 2022Index level128.80Nov 30, 2022Index level131.17Dec 30, 2022Index level131.27Jan 31, 2023Index level134.52Feb 28, 2023Index level131.44Mar 31, 2023Index level135.06Apr 28, 2023Index level136.03May 31, 2023Index level134.40Jun 30, 2023Index level133.48Jul 31, 2023Index level133.06Aug 31, 2023Index level132.37Sep 29, 2023Index level129.60Oct 31, 2023Index level128.32Nov 30, 2023Index level132.47Dec 29, 2023Index level136.76Jan 31, 2024Index level136.38Feb 29, 2024Index level134.65Mar 28, 2024Index level135.47Apr 30, 2024Index level132.50May 31, 2024Index level134.20Jun 28, 2024Index level135.96Jul 31, 2024Index level138.24Aug 30, 2024Index level140.79Sep 30, 2024Index level142.15Oct 31, 2024Index level138.42Nov 29, 2024Index level139.63Dec 31, 2024Index level137.61Jan 31, 2025Index level138.53Feb 28, 2025Index level141.09Mar 31, 2025Index level141.53Apr 30, 2025Index level142.55May 30, 2025Index level140.92Jun 30, 2025Index level142.59Jul 31, 2025Index level142.44Aug 29, 2025Index level143.65Sep 30, 2025Index level145.10Oct 31, 2025Index level145.94Nov 28, 2025Index level146.70Dec 31, 2025Index level146.38Jan 30, 2026Index level146.20Feb 27, 2026Index level148.75Mar 31, 2026Index level146.19Apr 30, 2026Index level146.19May 29, 2026Index level146.38Jun 30, 2026Index level147.00Jul 31, 2026Index level144.93Aug 31, 2026Index level145.41Sep 1, 2026Index level145.39Sep 2, 2026Index level145.19Sep 3, 2026Index level145.61Sep 4, 2026Index level145.48Sep 8, 2026Index level145.41Sep 9, 2026Index level144.99Sep 10, 2026Index level144.43Sep 11, 2026Index level144.36Sep 14, 2026Index level144.15Sep 15, 2026Index level143.97Sep 16, 2026Index level144.26Sep 17, 2026Index level144.35Sep 18, 2026Index level143.96

215 monthly rebalances, chained from 100 at September 30, 2008. The y axis is an index level, not a rate. The last 13 points are daily, through September 18, 2026: the index is valued every trading day and reconstitutes its holdings monthly. The base is the month-end before the first published level, so the first point after it already carries a month of return.

Total return

Cumulative and annualized total return over trailing periods to August 31, 2026.
PeriodCumulativeAnnualized
1 month+0.33%
3 months-0.67%
1 year+1.22%+1.22%
3 years+9.85%+3.18%
5 years-4.02%-0.82%
10 years+8.33%+0.80%
Since inception+46.01%2.15%

Periods under one year are not annualized, and the dash in that column is a refusal rather than a gap: restating one month as a yearly rate extrapolates a single month's movement across twelve, which overstates gains and losses alike.

Calendar year returns

Total return by calendar year since inception.
YearTotal return
20268 months-0.67%
2025+6.37%
2024+0.62%
2023+4.19%
2022-12.45%
2021-2.40%
2020+7.93%
2019+6.97%
2018+0.85%
2017+2.38%
2016+0.97%
2015+0.84%
2014+5.03%
2013-2.78%
2012+2.05%
2011+9.88%
2010+5.92%
2009-4.04%
20083 months+9.21%

Market value weighted, rebalanced monthly on the last trading day. Amount outstanding is what was auctioned, less par Treasury has bought back and retired, less what the Federal Reserve holds, a bond the Fed owns is outstanding but not investable, so deducting it is what makes the weights describe a portfolio somebody could actually hold. Levels are month-end figures, so this sits behind the daily prices elsewhere on this site by design.

Largest holdings

298 at the August 31, 2026 rebalance

The 5 heaviest, by weight. Each security's return is its own total return over the month; its contribution is that return times its weight, and every holding's contribution adds to the index return above.

The 5 heaviest holdings of US Treasury Index at the August 31, 2026 rebalance, with each one's weight, total return over the month and contribution to the index return.
CUSIPMaturityWeightReturnContribution
91282CMM04.625%Feb 15, 20350.85%0.238%0.0020%
91282CKQ34.375%May 15, 20340.83%0.221%0.0018%
91282CNT44.250%Aug 15, 20350.82%0.247%0.0020%
91282CQQ74.375%May 15, 20360.82%0.256%0.0021%
91282CLW94.250%Nov 15, 20340.82%0.214%0.0017%

Check this level yourself. Every holding is published each month with the three deductions that set its weight, both prices, and its contribution, and the contributions add to the return above. See the constituents.

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.