Treasury note · Matured

9128285X4 · 2.5% due January 31, 2021

Original term
2-Year
Maturity
Jan 31, 2021
Coupon
2.500%
Pays
Semi-Annual
Dated
Jan 31, 2019
First coupon
Jul 31, 2019
Priced through
Jan 29, 2021
Analyzed through
Jan 28, 2021

Still priced, no longer analyzed. Risk numbers below are as of Jan 28, 2021, analytics stop about three months before maturity, because a security with one cashflow left does not have a meaningful yield curve exposure.

Risk, January 28, 2021

Yield to maturity
withheld
Modified duration
0.005 yr
DV01
0.0001
Convexity
0.000
Dirty price
101.236

Yield and duration are withheld this close to maturity, not missing. Inside a month a Treasury trades on settlement mechanics rather than on yield, and its price is a rounding of par, annualizing a two-day stub produces a number in the tens of percent that would be arithmetically correct and completely misleading. The price, the residual and the key rate durations below are unaffected.

Where its rate sensitivity sits

3M
6M
1Y
2Y
3Y
5Y
7Y
10Y
15Y
20Y
25Y
30Y
Sensitivity to a one basis point move at each point on the curve, in years. All of it sits at 3M. For a security with a single remaining cashflow that is the true shape, not missing data.

Against the fitted curve

Priced 1.26 cents per 100 of face cheap to the curve on that day.

Shown as a price rather than a yield. This security was close enough to maturity that annualizing is meaningless, the same reason it carries no yield to maturity above, and the same difference quoted in basis points would read as an enormous mispricing rather than the few cents it is.

Yield to maturity, 499 observations

-0.50%0.00%0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%2.50%3.00%Jan 31, 2019Jan 28, 2021Jan 31, 2019Yield to maturity2.452%Feb 19, 2019Yield to maturity2.500%Mar 7, 2019Yield to maturity2.482%Mar 25, 2019Yield to maturity2.274%Apr 10, 2019Yield to maturity2.357%Apr 29, 2019Yield to maturity2.334%May 15, 2019Yield to maturity2.218%Jun 3, 2019Yield to maturity1.903%Jun 19, 2019Yield to maturity1.828%Jul 8, 2019Yield to maturity1.968%Jul 24, 2019Yield to maturity1.912%Aug 9, 2019Yield to maturity1.742%Aug 27, 2019Yield to maturity1.652%Sep 13, 2019Yield to maturity1.920%Oct 1, 2019Yield to maturity1.735%Oct 18, 2019Yield to maturity1.630%Nov 5, 2019Yield to maturity1.702%Nov 22, 2019Yield to maturity1.668%Dec 11, 2019Yield to maturity1.690%Dec 30, 2019Yield to maturity1.653%Jan 16, 2020Yield to maturity1.616%Feb 4, 2020Yield to maturity1.538%Feb 21, 2020Yield to maturity1.485%Mar 10, 2020Yield to maturity0.631%Mar 26, 2020Yield to maturity0.170%Apr 14, 2020Yield to maturity0.253%Apr 30, 2020Yield to maturity0.164%May 18, 2020Yield to maturity0.178%Jun 4, 2020Yield to maturity0.203%Jun 22, 2020Yield to maturity0.171%Jul 9, 2020Yield to maturity0.200%Jul 27, 2020Yield to maturity0.162%Aug 12, 2020Yield to maturity0.144%Aug 28, 2020Yield to maturity0.094%Sep 16, 2020Yield to maturity0.131%Oct 2, 2020Yield to maturity0.159%Oct 21, 2020Yield to maturity0.108%Nov 6, 2020Yield to maturity0.143%Nov 25, 2020Yield to maturity0.198%Dec 14, 2020Yield to maturity0.053%

Price history

500 trading days to Jan 29, 2021

99.50100.00100.50101.00101.50102.00Jan 31, 2019Jan 29, 2021Jan 31, 2019Close100.094Feb 19, 2019Close100.000Mar 7, 2019Close100.031Mar 25, 2019Close100.406Apr 10, 2019Close100.250Apr 29, 2019Close100.281May 15, 2019Close100.469Jun 3, 2019Close100.969Jun 19, 2019Close101.063Jul 8, 2019Close100.813Jul 24, 2019Close100.875Aug 9, 2019Close101.094Aug 27, 2019Close101.188Sep 13, 2019Close100.781Oct 1, 2019Close101.000Oct 18, 2019Close101.094Nov 5, 2019Close100.969Nov 22, 2019Close100.969Dec 11, 2019Close100.906Dec 30, 2019Close100.906Jan 16, 2020Close100.906Feb 4, 2020Close100.938Feb 21, 2020Close100.938Mar 10, 2020Close101.656Mar 26, 2020Close101.969Apr 14, 2020Close101.781Apr 30, 2020Close101.750May 18, 2020Close101.625Jun 4, 2020Close101.500Jun 22, 2020Close101.406Jul 9, 2020Close101.281Jul 27, 2020Close101.188Aug 12, 2020Close101.094Aug 28, 2020Close101.000Sep 16, 2020Close100.875Oct 2, 2020Close100.750Oct 21, 2020Close100.656Nov 6, 2020Close100.531Nov 25, 2020Close100.406Dec 14, 2020Close100.313Dec 31, 2020Close100.156Jan 20, 2021Close100.075Jan 29, 2021Close100.000
The most recent 20 trading days of prices for 9128285X4.
DateBidOfferClose
Jan 29, 2021100.000100.000
Jan 28, 2021100.000100.000
Jan 27, 2021100.000100.000
Jan 26, 2021100.031100.031
Jan 25, 2021100.031100.041
Jan 22, 2021100.031100.031
Jan 21, 2021100.063100.063
Jan 20, 2021100.063100.075
Jan 19, 2021100.082100.082
Jan 15, 2021100.063100.094
Jan 14, 2021100.094100.094
Jan 13, 2021100.122100.094
Jan 12, 2021100.125100.125
Jan 11, 2021100.125100.125
Jan 8, 2021100.125100.125
Jan 7, 2021100.156100.156
Jan 6, 2021100.170100.156
Jan 5, 2021100.156100.156
Jan 4, 2021100.156100.156
Dec 31, 2020100.188100.156

Prices are per 100 of face, from Treasury's own end-of-day file. A dash in the bid or offer column means none was posted that day.

Auction

A CUSIP can be auctioned more than once: Treasury reopens an existing security rather than issuing a new one, so the same bond is sold again at whatever yield the market then wants.

Auction history for 9128285X4.
Auction dateIssuedTypeOfferedAcceptedBid to coverHigh yield
Jan 28, 2019Jan 31, 2019New issue$40.0bn$40.0bn2.56x2.600%

The curve this was priced against →

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

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Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.